“Well folks, it’s time for the acad-vision three month forecast. We use a complex combination of long term climate models–utilizing the Syllabus algorithm–short term observations, and a pair of dice to give you a chance to prepare for events in the not-so-far-but-not-so-close future.

The coming weeks will be dominated by mostly fair weather with clouds increasing later in the month. A work-load ridge will slowly build-up, dominated by a Jackson system which will create some electric instability in the air. What out for lightning folks!  The wild card is the position of the jet stream, which may direct more work our way if a research front drops from the north. Based on activities last month in Europe, we give this an 80% chance of happening before the end of October due to a proceedings and paper trough developing in the North Pacific.

A respite will come at the end of the month when a series of birthday fronts will lighten up the skies. However, furious weather arrives immediately after that thanks to a midterm arriving out of the northwest. We are confident that this will be associated by a Jackson front, however a Pathria front may also be thrown into the mix. Behind all this activity will be small contributions from a subtropical Stellar system, which will feed moisture into the system and strengthen any storms which may develop.

Once the midterm passes, weather will only clear up slightly. Models show increasing cloud cover with winds shifting from the north due to a stationary homework system which will deepen in the weeks to follow. A respite may come in late November, but models are not clear. Immediately following that we see a ‘one-two’ punch in the form of an exam system–likely a Jackson front–and then a triple exam system. This latter system may be a real doozy. Be prepared for high winds, sleet, and cool temperatures for upwards of a week. Currently we don’t predict any snow, but just messy, disgusting weather. Once this system passes however, there is pleasant, seasonal weather for the rest of the year, perhaps with some  weather more akin to the southern Great Lakes for a week or so around Christmas.”

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